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Massive house price slowdown as interest rate climbs

<p dir="ltr">After experiencing near-record high prices during the pandemic, the cost of a house in Australia’s capital cities is experiencing its biggest slowdown since 1989, according to new data.</p> <p dir="ltr">The slowdown in price growth over the past six months is worse than the stagnation and turbulence the housing market experienced in 2004 and 2008’s Global Financial Crisis.</p> <p dir="ltr">According to new analysis from PropTrack, the annual rate of home price growth in capital cities has dropped from January’s rate of 24 percent, to 14 percent.</p> <p dir="ltr">PropTrack has reported that Sydney prices have slowed at the fastest rate since 1989, Melbourne’s is the slowest since 2010 and Brisbane’s since 2008.</p> <p dir="ltr">Economist Paul Ryan told <em><a href="https://www.9news.com.au/national/australia-capital-city-home-prices-slow-down-slow-at-most-rapid-pace-in-more-than-30-years/e7d7b5cc-965d-480c-9b7f-20a6a9ef862d" target="_blank" rel="noopener">9News</a> </em>the slowdown was “not surprising”, blaming recent interest rate rises and predicting it would continue due to additional rises expected over the rest of the year.</p> <p dir="ltr">“Looking ahead, the rapid slowdown in price growth signals the housing market is likely to continue to see slow growth over the rest of 2022,” he said.</p> <p dir="ltr">He added that buyers may be hesitant with the high level of uncertainty around the cost of mortgage repayments.</p> <p dir="ltr">“Resolving this uncertainty about the path of interest rates will be the key element buyers look for over the rest of the year,” he continued.</p> <p dir="ltr">Though it is normal for prices to decline after a period of growth, Ryan said this sudden six-month deceleration was of potential concern.</p> <p dir="ltr">“It’s not necessarily the case that growth falls rapidly after a run-up,” he said.</p> <p dir="ltr">“In general, the market moves more gradually, indicating there are other factors involved.”</p> <p dir="ltr">It comes after the Reserve Bank lifted the nation’s interest rates by 0.5 percent on Tuesday, making it the second month in a row with an increase.</p> <p><span id="docs-internal-guid-48ed0c2e-7fff-7e4f-99ba-fd689c54849e"></span></p> <p dir="ltr"><em>Image: Getty Images</em></p>

Real Estate

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Aussie property to crash by 50 per cent

<p>A US demographer has said Australian property prices could crash by 50 per cent, as part of a looming global crisis that could be worse than the Great Depression.</p> <p>Harry Dent, a financial commentator who famously predicted the 2008 crash, has warned of a “major political and social revolution brewing” that could be disastrous.</p> <p>“I’m talking about a second global crisis because we never solved the problems of the first one,” he said.</p> <p>“We have $57 trillion more debt, real estate and stocks are more overvalued. I’m seeing signs. Bitcoin finally crashed, the US stock market looked like it was melting down, I think real estate comes next.”</p> <p>The renowned doomsayer says it’s not all bad news however, and suggests a significant drop in house prices could lead to a buying opportunity for canny Aussies.</p> <p>“You’re the number one country I would reinvest in,” he said.</p> <p>“You’re on the cusp of the best part of the emerging world which will dominate global growth which is India and South-East Asia, not as much China. China’s workforce has already peaked and China has overbuilt its economy.</p> <p>“This does not have to do with Australia as much. You have the best demographic trends because of the quantity and quality of the immigrants you attract from Asia, you’re one of the few countries that does not have a demographic slowdown problem like Japan or Germany.</p> <p>“Your problem is you’ve got the second highest real estate costs compared to income in the world. I see Australia as the best house in a bad neighbourhood, but you can’t escape a global crisis.</p> <p>“I think this time your real estate will come back 20, 30, 40, 50 per cent. That’s good. When young people have to pay 12 times their incomes for a house, that’s not good, so this is where the reset needs to come. I think you will have a recession this time.”</p> <p>What are your thoughts? Think this prediction is on the money?</p>

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