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Serial conman Peter Foster arrested after six months on the run

<p><span style="font-weight: 400;">Serial conman Peter Foster has been uncovered hiding out in regional Victoria, bringing his six months on the run to an end. </span></p> <p><span style="font-weight: 400;">An arrest warrant in Queensland was issued for the 59-year-old on May 20th, after Peter failed to appear that day in a Sydney court over an alleged multi-million-dollar Bitcoin scam.</span></p> <p><span style="font-weight: 400;">His electronic monitoring device, which was a strict condition of his bail, also stopped sending out a signal. </span></p> <p><span style="font-weight: 400;">Federal police finally caught up with Foster on Tuesday </span><span style="font-weight: 400;">near the Macedon Ranges town of Gisborne, northwest of Melbourne.</span></p> <p class="css-1316j2p-StyledParagraph e4e0a020">“The AFP Fugitive Apprehension Strike Team and Queensland Police have worked together for six months to find this man and some dogged detective work has allowed us to make this arrest today,” Australian Federal Police Commissioner Richard Chin said.</p> <p>Foster was initially arrested in Port Douglas in August 2020 on 15 different fraud-related charges in New South Wales. </p> <p>The series of charges were in relation to allegations that he <span>extricated 120 Bitcoin, worth more than $1.7 million at the time, from a Hong Kong man in 2019 and 2020.</span></p> <p><span>After being granted strict bail in March, he failed to show up for court appearances and started his life on the run. </span></p> <p><span>When a new arrest warrant was issued by Queensland police, Foster's lawyer told a Brisbane court that Peter would hand himself in and please not guilty. </span></p> <p><span>According to Peter's lawyer, Chris Hannay, Foster was a “charismatic crook” and a “charismatic good bloke” but “not the villain in this”.</span></p> <p><em>Image credits: Youtube - 7News</em></p>

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What is Bitcoin’s fundamental value? That’s a good question

<p>As it hits new highs, there is no shortage of bold predictions about Bitcoin <a href="https://www.forbes.com/sites/billybambrough/2021/11/02/crypto-price-prediction-bitcoin-could-hit-100000-before-the-end-of-2021-but-lacks-ethereum-intensity/?sh=392b38e96b7d">reaching US$100,000</a> or more.</p> <p>Often these are based on not much more than extrapolations by people with vested interests: the price has gone up a lot so it will keep going up. If it gets above its previous high, it must keep going up.</p> <p>There is also “charting” or “technical analysis” – looking at graphs and seeing patterns in them. There may be fancy terms such as “<a href="https://cointelegraph.com/news/analysts-expect-parabolic-bitcoin-price-move-after-the-last-resistance-at-67k-falls">resistance levels</a>” and “<a href="https://www.investopedia.com/terms/t/tenkansen.asp#:%7E:text=Tenkan-sen%2C%20or%20conversion%20line%2C%20crates%20a%20moving%20average,information%20in%20a%20single%20view%20for%20technical%20analysts.">Tenkan-Sen</a>”. There is talk about “<a href="https://seekingalpha.com/article/4459569-bitcoin-fundamentals-and-technicals-tell-the-same-story">fundamentals</a>”.</p> <p>Let’s examine this last idea. Does Bitcoin have a fundamental value?</p> <h2>Calculating fundamental values</h2> <p>A fundamental value in traditional financial-speak means a value based on what return (or cash flow) is generated by an asset. Think of an apple tree. To an investor its fundamental value is in the apples it produces.</p> <p>In the case of company shares, the fundamental value is the dividend paid from profits. A standard measure used by investors is the price-to-earnings ratio. In property, the fundamental value reflects the rent the investor earns (or the owner-occupier saves). For a bond, the value depends on the interest it pays.</p> <p>Gold has a fundamental value also, based on its use for jewellery or dental fillings or in electronics. But this value is not why most people buy gold.</p> <h2>Fundamentals for cryptocurrencies</h2> <p>National currencies are different. Their value is in being a trusted and accepted unit of exchange.</p> <p>In the past coins made with gold and silver had a fundamental value because they could be melted down for their precious metals. That’s no longer the case with fiat currencies, whose value depends solely on people trusting that others accept them at face value.</p> <p>Most cryptocurrencies, such as Bitcoin, Ethereum and Dogecoin are essentially private <a href="https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=3888752">fiat currencies</a>. They have no corresponding assets or returns. This makes it hard to determine a fundamental value.</p> <p>In September analysts with Britain’s Standard Chartered Bank <a href="https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/%24789-billion-standard-chartered-sees-bitcoin-hitting-%24100000-by-early-next-year-2021-09-08">argued</a> Bitcoin could peak at about US$100,000 by the end of 2021. “As a medium of exchange, Bitcoin may become the dominant peer-to-peer payment method for the global unbanked in a future cashless world,” said the head of the bank’s crypto research team, Geoffrey Kendrick (a former Australian Treasury official).</p> <p>Theoretically this could be possible. Globally an estimated <a href="https://www.brinknews.com/bridging-the-digital-divide-to-widen-financial-services-in-central-asia/">1.7 billion people</a> lack access to banking services. But Bitcoin has been spruiked as the future of payments since its invention in 2008. It has made little progress.</p> <p>There are at least two significant barriers. First is the computational grunt needed to process payments. Technology may overcome this. The second obstacle is harder: the volatility of its price.</p> <p>Digital currencies that can maintain a stable value are more likely to become payment instruments. These include the existing stablecoins, <a href="https://www.reuters.com/technology/facebook-backed-crypto-project-diem-launch-us-stablecoin-major-shift-2021-05-12/">Meta’s mooted Diem</a> and <a href="https://www.bis.org/publ/work976.pdf">central bank digital currencies</a>, already <a href="https://www.sanddollar.bs/">operational</a> in some Caribbean economies.</p> <p>So far the only significant company to have accepted payments in Bitcoin is Tesla, which announced this policy in March only to reverse <a href="https://www.bbc.com/news/business-57096305">it in May</a>.</p> <p>The only country to adopt Bitcoin as an approved currency is El Salvador (which also uses the US dollar). But it is far from clear what benefits there are. The laws forcing businesses to accept the cryptocurrency have also led to protests.</p> <h2>Bitcoin as digital gold</h2> <p>If Bitcoin has no real value as a widespread means of payment, what about as a store of value, like digital gold? It does have this advantage over most of the “altcoins”. Its supply, like gold, is (arguably) limited.</p> <p>One tool used by crypto enthusiasts to compare Bitcoin’s scarcity with gold is called the <a href="https://www.cointree.com/learn/bitcoins-stock-to-flow-model/">“stock-to-flow” model</a>. This approach claims gold holds its value because the existing stock of gold is 60 times more than the amount of new gold mined each year. The stock of Bitcoin is more than 50 times than the new coins “mined” annually.</p> <p>But this does not explain why Bitcoin’s price halved earlier this year. Nor does it have any theoretical basis in economics: prices don’t depend just on supply.</p> <p>Some <a href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/currencies/cathie-wood-bitcoin-price-prediction-jump-500000-ether-confidence-high-2021-9">Bitcoin promoters</a> predict higher prices on the assumption funds managers will eventually invest an abritrary proportion, say 5%, of their funds in Bitcoin.</p> <p>But such predictions implicitly assume Bitcoin, as the largest and best-known cryptocurrency, will continue to maintain its dominant position in the crypto market. This is not guaranteed. And there is no limit to the number of cryptocurrency alternatives.</p> <p>Remember Bankcard? This credit card company once had 90% of the Australian market in the early 1980s. It was defunct by 2006. What about MySpace? Before 2008 it was a bigger social networking site than Facebook.</p> <h2>Here we go again</h2> <p>In September <a href="https://www.economist.com/leaders/2021/09/18/the-beguiling-promise-of-decentralised-finance">The Economist</a> argued Bitcoin “is now a distraction” to the future of decentralised finance, with rival blockchain cryptocurrency Ethereum “reaching critical mass”.</p> <p>There are parallels between the Bitcoin bubble and the dotcom bubble of 2000, driven by overly optimistic assumptions about new technologies – and human greed.</p> <p>Just as a few stars such as Amazon emerged from the wreckage of the dot.com bubble, so it is possible some applications of the block-chain technology underlying Bitcoin have enduring utility. But I doubt Bitcoin will be one of them.<!-- Below is The Conversation's page counter tag. Please DO NOT REMOVE. --><img style="border: none !important; box-shadow: none !important; margin: 0 !important; max-height: 1px !important; max-width: 1px !important; min-height: 1px !important; min-width: 1px !important; opacity: 0 !important; outline: none !important; padding: 0 !important; text-shadow: none !important;" src="https://counter.theconversation.com/content/171387/count.gif?distributor=republish-lightbox-basic" alt="The Conversation" width="1" height="1" /><!-- End of code. If you don't see any code above, please get new code from the Advanced tab after you click the republish button. The page counter does not collect any personal data. More info: https://theconversation.com/republishing-guidelines --></p> <p><span><a href="https://theconversation.com/profiles/john-hawkins-746285">John Hawkins</a>, Senior Lecturer, Canberra School of Politics, Economics and Society and NATSEM, <em><a href="https://theconversation.com/institutions/university-of-canberra-865">University of Canberra</a></em></span></p> <p>This article is republished from <a href="https://theconversation.com">The Conversation</a> under a Creative Commons license. Read the <a href="https://theconversation.com/what-is-bitcoins-fundamental-value-thats-a-good-question-171387">original article</a>.</p>

Retirement Income

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Russian man sues Apple for “turning him gay”

<p><span style="font-weight: 400;">A Russian man has filed a lawsuit against tech giant Apple for moral harm claiming that an iPhone app has made him gay, according to a copy of the complaint seen by </span><a href="https://www.news.com.au/technology/gadgets/mobile-phones/russian-man-sues-apple-for-turning-him-gay/news-story/4761700ec65dde1f603acdb8781c2cda"><span style="font-weight: 400;">AFP</span></a><span style="font-weight: 400;">. </span></p> <p><span style="font-weight: 400;">The man has filed a suit in a Moscow court, asking for one million rubles (AUD$ 22,800) after an incident this summer delivered him a cryptocurrency called “GayCoin” instead of the Bitcoin he had ordered.</span></p> <p><span style="font-weight: 400;">His lawyer Sapizhat Gusnieva insisted the case was “serious,” telling AFP that her client was “scared, he suffered”.</span></p> <p><span style="font-weight: 400;">The GayCoin cryptocurrency arrived with a note saying, “Don’t judge until you try,” according to the complaint.</span></p> <p><span style="font-weight: 400;">“I thought, in truth, how can I judge something without trying? I decided to try same-sex relationships,” the complainant wrote.</span></p> <p><span style="font-weight: 400;">“Now I have a boyfriend and I do not know how to explain this to my parents … my life has been changed for the worse and will never become normal again,” he added.</span></p> <p><span style="font-weight: 400;">“Apple pushed me towards homosexuality through manipulation. The changes have caused me moral and mental harm.”</span></p> <p><span style="font-weight: 400;">His lawyer says that Apple “has a responsibility for their programs”, despite the exchange taking place on a third-party app.</span></p> <p><span style="font-weight: 400;">Homophobia is rampant in Russia, where reports of rights violations and attacks on LGBT people are common.</span></p> <p><span style="font-weight: 400;">Moscow has also introduced a law in 2013 against “gay propaganda”, which bans the “promotions of non-traditional lifestyles to minors”, but effectively outlaws LGBT activism.</span></p>

Technology

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Cryptocurrency: What's the story?

<p class="Body">Every barbecue, every dinner party, and every elevator conversation seems to include cryptocurrency these days, whether it’s an old workmate showing you his portfolio of “coins” on the <a href="https://www.blockfolio.com/">Blockfolio app</a> or a 25-year-old beaming on television about the millions he made buying Bitcoin in 2009.</p> <p class="Body"><strong>What is it, exactly?</strong></p> <p class="Body">Blockchain technology is what we’re talking about, and understanding it is the key to understanding what Bitcoin is (or Litecoin, Monero, Dogecoin — there are so many cryptocurrencies now).</p> <p class="Body">Most people <a href="https://martinjeeblog.com/2017/10/10/the-best-blockchain-analogy-ever/">use analogies</a> to explain it, but essentially, Blockchain is a decentralised digital ledger that records transactions in such a way that they can always be verified and — allegedly — can’t be altered. So if you make a deal with someone, it’s guaranteed that you’re both looking at the same data — which means you don’t have to trust each other.</p> <p class="Body">Bitcoin is an example of Blockchain technology — it’s a decentralised currency that isn’t backed by a government or financial institution, and it uses an open source peer-to-peer protocol to conduct transactions. (If that went over your head, you can see why people fall back on analogies to explain this stuff.)</p> <p class="Body"><strong>How can you use cryptocurrency? Can you actually buy things with it?</strong></p> <p class="Body">In theory, you can purchase things online with crypto — one of the benefits being that transactions are (supposedly) anonymous and untraceable.</p> <p class="Body">Using Bitcoin as an example, the trouble is that there’s a limit to the number of simultaneous transactions that can take place globally. Which means you can end up paying a hefty “tip” to the miners who process them, or risk having your transaction delayed and delayed. Next-generation coins have improved on this, but it’s something to be aware of.</p> <p class="Body">The main thing these currencies are used for at the moment is speculative trading. People buy them in the hope that they’ll continue to increase in value, with no intention of spending them as actual money.</p> <p class="Body"><strong>Where can you buy, sell, and trade these currencies?</strong></p> <p class="Body">As you’d imagine, there’s no one central marketplace for crypto — and not every coin is on every market.</p> <p class="Body">One of the easiest exchanges for us to access is the Australian-owned <a href="https://www.btcmarkets.net/home">BTC Markets</a>. Once your account is verified, you can transfer Aussie dollars from your bank account and use them to buy Bitcoin, Litecoin, Ripple, and some other currencies. From there, you can move your cryptocurrency — Bitcoin, for example — to a trading platform such as the <a href="https://www.bitfinex.com/">Bitfinex exchange</a>, and use it to purchase currencies that aren’t available on BTC Markets.</p> <p class="Body">Of course, when you decide you want to sell the coins you bought on Bitfinex, you’ll have to trade them for a cryptocurrency that can be moved back to BTC Markets and sold for Australian dollars — which can then be withdrawn and transferred back into your bank account.</p> <p class="Body"><strong>That sounds simple enough…</strong></p> <p class="Body">It is — in theory — but you have to pay more attention than you usually would with an online transaction. Because of the decentralised philosophy behind crypto, there’s no authority or ombudsman you can go to if someone hacks your account — or even if you type in the wrong 32-character alphanumeric “address” for your online wallet when sending those coins between exchanges.</p> <p class="Body"><strong>Online wallet? Huh?</strong></p> <p class="Body">You can keep your crypto offline — which is why there are stories of people searching through the garbage for a discarded USB drive with millions on it — but most people keep their coins online, in virtual “wallets”.</p> <p class="Body">For more information on how they work, and some recommendations on which ones to use, see <a href="http://www.techradar.com/news/best-cryptocurrency-wallets-2018"><em>TechRadar</em>'s roundup of the best cryptocurrency wallets</a>.</p> <p class="Body"><strong>I’m interested. How much should I invest?</strong></p> <p class="Body">As with any risky venture, only invest an amount you’re willing to see drop dramatically in the space of days — or even hours. It can be exciting to see your $4000 become $18,000 in a month, but it could just as easily drop back down to $3000 while you’re not watching the market. Also, be aware that prices continue to shift 24/7, which can make for sleepless nights.</p> <p class="Body"><em>Written by Shane Cubis. Republished with permission of </em><a href="https://www.wyza.com.au/articles/money/investment/cryptocurrency-whats-the-story.aspx"><em>Wyza.com.au</em></a><em>. </em></p>

Retirement Income

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Aussie property to crash by 50 per cent

<p>A US demographer has said Australian property prices could crash by 50 per cent, as part of a looming global crisis that could be worse than the Great Depression.</p> <p>Harry Dent, a financial commentator who famously predicted the 2008 crash, has warned of a “major political and social revolution brewing” that could be disastrous.</p> <p>“I’m talking about a second global crisis because we never solved the problems of the first one,” he said.</p> <p>“We have $57 trillion more debt, real estate and stocks are more overvalued. I’m seeing signs. Bitcoin finally crashed, the US stock market looked like it was melting down, I think real estate comes next.”</p> <p>The renowned doomsayer says it’s not all bad news however, and suggests a significant drop in house prices could lead to a buying opportunity for canny Aussies.</p> <p>“You’re the number one country I would reinvest in,” he said.</p> <p>“You’re on the cusp of the best part of the emerging world which will dominate global growth which is India and South-East Asia, not as much China. China’s workforce has already peaked and China has overbuilt its economy.</p> <p>“This does not have to do with Australia as much. You have the best demographic trends because of the quantity and quality of the immigrants you attract from Asia, you’re one of the few countries that does not have a demographic slowdown problem like Japan or Germany.</p> <p>“Your problem is you’ve got the second highest real estate costs compared to income in the world. I see Australia as the best house in a bad neighbourhood, but you can’t escape a global crisis.</p> <p>“I think this time your real estate will come back 20, 30, 40, 50 per cent. That’s good. When young people have to pay 12 times their incomes for a house, that’s not good, so this is where the reset needs to come. I think you will have a recession this time.”</p> <p>What are your thoughts? Think this prediction is on the money?</p>

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